December is always an important time of year at EquiPredict.
During this month, we spend countless hours analyzing long-term data, stress-testing models, and constructing a forward-looking roadmap designed to help subscribers navigate the year ahead with greater clarity and discipline. Just as important, it’s when we evaluate what worked, what didn’t, and why.
One of our core objectives each year is to provide subscribers with a high-level market risk roadmap. One that serves as a probabilistic framework that helps define when risk should be embraced and when caution should take precedence.
To do this, we anchor our long-term analysis to the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
The Dow offers a deep historical record, with reliable data extending back to the 19th century. And when viewed through a monthly lens, we can examine structural market behavior as far back as 1789! This offers a rare perspective on cycles, regimes, and long-duration trends.
(If you’re interested in seeing a monthly Dow chart spanning the less often discussed period of time from 1789–1900, feel free to reach out – we’re happy to send it to you at no cost. It’s remarkable material.)
The 2025 Forecasts: A and B
For 2025, we developed two independent forecasts:
- Forecast A, designed to identify timing windows: periods where probabilities favored being positioned long versus periods where risk management and restraint were more appropriate.
- Forecast B, designed to capture the broader directional bias of the year.
Ahead of the year, we publicly released a preview version of Forecast A to demonstrate our process and framework.
Below, we are publishing both 2025’s Forecast A and Forecast B alongside their actual results, allowing readers to evaluate how each model performed in real market conditions.
- Forecast A offered actionable insight into when participation made sense – and when it did not.
- Forecast B provided a valuable structural backdrop, helping contextualize the year’s overall tone.
(Each chart opens in a new tab for detailed viewing.)
Looking Ahead to 2026
In approximately two weeks, we will be releasing a Forecast A and Forecast B for 2026.
What stands out so far is that 2026 is shaping up very differently from either 2024 or 2025. The data suggests a notable shift in structure, with one, possibly two, highly significant buy windows already emerging in our models.
These are the types of inflection points that matter most over a full market cycle and are not obvious when viewed through short-term price action alone.
To receive full access to the upcoming 2026 Forecast A and Forecast B, including charts, timing windows, and probability structures, readers can subscribe at the Pro Membership level.
The 2026 Stock Market forecast will only be available for download for a limited period time.
Get Full Access to the 2026 Forecast
Pro Members receive complete access to Forecast A and Forecast B for 2026, including charts, timing windows, and probability structures not published publicly.
View Pro Membership PricingForecasts published in approximately 2 weeks. Forecasts will be available to view and download for a limited length of time.